Monday, October 31, 2016

The Electoral College Map One Week Out: Clinton Victory Likely But Not Assured

A couple of weeks ago, it was impossible to find a pundit or poll maven who saw a Trump victory as a possibility. I made the audacious claim at the time that this was incorrect, and I’ve been taking heat from it since then. Much of this widespread misunderstanding is ironically caused by the good…

source http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2016/10/31/the-electoral-college-map-one-week-out-clinton-victory-likely-but-not-assured/

Sunday, October 30, 2016

Tracking Polls Show Clinton Disaster Looms, But Electoral College Holds

The relationship between the popular vote, roughly reflected in national polls, and the Electoral College vote, is where the rubber meets the road. When you look at states that are very solid for each candidate, neither candidate has a lock on the race, but Clinton has way more electoral votes, currently. These numbers hover around…

source http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2016/10/30/tracking-polls-show-clinton-disaster-looms-but-electoral-college-holds/

Secretary Clinton’s Likely First Violation of Her Oath of Office

When Secretary Clinton is elected President, barring more shenanigans on the part of Republicans like James Comey, she will take an oath of office, promising to protect and defend the Constituent of the United States of America. Then, within a few days, she’ll violate that oath by appointing one or more Republicans to important positions…

source http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2016/10/30/secretary-clintons-likely-first-violation-of-her-oath-of-office/

Saturday, October 29, 2016

Will 2016 see a landslide in the POTUS election?

No. Many many people, well intended, smart people, keep talking about the rout, the landslide, that will happen. They may be basing this on the new trend started by FiveThirtyEight and picked up by the New York Times and others of deriving a probability statement about the race. But when you see something like “87%”…

source http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/

James Comey’s Last Day at the FBI: November 9th

You all know what James Comey did. He sent a letter to Congress that will undoubtedly serve to change the vote distribution among the leasing candidates for president enough to possibly change the outcome of the United States election of the President of the United States. Such an act is treasonous, and had a private…

source http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2016/10/29/james-comeys-last-day-at-the-fbi-november-9th/

The Presidential Race Tightens Even As Many Assume It Is Over

A Trump-Kaine presidency is now on the table. It ain’t over ’till the lady in the pantsuits wins. Or looses. Imagine Debbie Downer and Chicken Little have an offspring. It would be me. Or at least, that’s how I’ve felt over the last few weeks as the only person in the Free World who seems…

source http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2016/10/29/the-presidential-race-tightens-even-as-many-assume-it-is-over/

Trump Supporter Charged With Vote Fraud, Grammar Infraction

How can you tell what a megalomaniac is really up to? You find out what the megalomaniac is accusing everyone else of. That’s what they are up to. While the just barely brighter than dim press and pundits are focusing on Trump’s call for his followers to carry out voter suppression in African American and…

source http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2016/10/29/trump-supporter-charged-with-vote-fraud-grammar-infraction/